Food

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Food

The Iran war is threatening food security in Africa, potentially leading to dramatic consequences for the continent’s most vulnerable populations. As the conflict continues, the price of urea, a key fertiliser ingredient, has surged by 60% to 70% since the war began.

The impact of this conflict extends beyond immediate borders. Yara International, the world’s largest fertiliser company with operations in 60 countries, has reported significant disruptions in ammonia supplies due to the war. This disruption directly affects fertiliser production and consequently agricultural outputs across the continent.

Africa is heavily reliant on agricultural imports despite its potential for food production. Approximately 35% of the world’s supply of urea comes from Gulf states, which are now embroiled in conflict. This dependency puts countries like Ethiopia and Kenya at risk, as they are particularly exposed to fluctuations in nitrogenous fertiliser availability.

Key statistics:

  • Urea prices have risen by 60% to 70% since the onset of the Iran war.
  • The EU has announced grant aid of up to €50,000 for farmers affected by these disruptions.
  • S&P Global warns that food supply chains face challenges from fuel and fertiliser restrictions due to ongoing conflicts.

Svein Tore Holsether, CEO of Yara International, emphasized the urgency of addressing these challenges: “The most important thing we can do now is raise the alarm on what we are seeing right now – that there is a risk of a global auction on fertiliser that means it becomes unaffordable for those most vulnerable.” His remarks underline a growing concern that rising costs could lead to severe food shortages.

The situation continues to evolve as officials assess the long-term implications. Many farmers express frustration; one stated, “Farming only leads to financial losses. I’d rather work as a day labourer and earn 100 to 200 baht a day just to get by.” This sentiment reflects a broader struggle among agricultural workers facing economic pressures exacerbated by geopolitical conflicts.